Crime in the Time of COVID: How Economic Conditions and Policies Shape Public Safety in New York City

New York City, like many communities in the United States, has experienced an increase in crime since the pandemic began. Meanwhile, New York City is also experiencing a more pronounced and prolonged economic impact from Covid compared to most other large cities and the nation: a slower recovery of pandemic-induced job loss and higher unemployment. These economic challenges provided the impetus for the Center for New York City Affairs to analyze New York City crime and economic data side-by-side, to improve our understanding of the relationship between crime and the economy and inform policymaking in both arenas.  

This report analyzes crime and economic data over the past decade and as it relates to established research on these topics. In doing so, it provides much-needed context for today’s policy debates. The report identifies the ways in which economic conditions and prosperity can have an impact on criminal activity and public safety. It also offers evidence in New York City’s recent past that economic policies can play a role in reducing crime. This evidence is particularly relevant given the economic realities New York City faces today.

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